In the previous part of the article, we had dealt with the political situation in Pakistan in 1965.
India Post-Independence
Despite the 1962 war, India's internal politics were generally peaceful. Attention was focused
on the growth of the country. The country had inherited an economy in a dire
state. Much of the population was living on farm-related income.
Industrialisation was the need of the hour. Strong foundations had to be put in
place. Political leaders of that time realised the necessity of long-term
planning to ensure the nation's progress and prosperity. The concept of
five-year plans was thus born. The first five-year plan (April 1951 to March
1956) was launched by Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru.
Interestingly, the total
outlay of the first 5-year project was ₹2,069 crores, which was later revised
to ₹2378 crores. Irrigation and energy (27.2%), transport and communication
(24%), agriculture and community development (17.4%), and social services,
including education and health (16.6%) were the major heads for which funds
were allotted. Industry and minerals received 8.4% and rehabilitation of
landless farmers received 4.1% of the allocation. Everything else put together
got the rest. The outcome of the five-year plan was that the economy achieved
annual GDP growth of 3.6% against a modest target of 2.1%.
The major projects that came
up during this period were the Bhakra Nangal Dam, the Hirakud Dam, the
modernisation of the Mettur Dam, and the expansion of the irrigation
facilities. The areas of focus of the government are clear from the
allocations. The second 5-year plan from April 56 to March 61 had a total
outlay of 4,800 crores, a more than 100 per cent jump. In this plan, the focus
shifted to developing industry and minerals, along with transport and
communication, getting 65% of the total share. Agricultural and community
development received 21%. Defence was not included in the allocation but was
considered as a non-planned expenditure. Even today, it remains like that. War
was not a planned item but a contingency forced on the country.
The 1962 war inflicted serious
injury on India's economy. The defence expenditure of ₹269.9 crore in 1959-60
increased to ₹ 310.17 crores in 60-61, ₹343.63 crores in 61-62 and jumped to
₹503.99 crores in 62-63. In 64-65, it jumped to ₹718 crores and in 66-67, it
went up to ₹749 crores. This huge jump in expenditure is attributed to the
direct and indirect costs of the war. Based on the recommendations of the
Subrahmanyam committee after the 1962 war, defence allocations were increased.
Those of us who feel that the planners and leaders misread the enemies around
India and ignored the army must understand that the country was reeling under
repeated droughts and failed crops. Between 1960 and 1964, India imported 17
million tonnes of food from the US. Food shortage was managed through
institutionalised rationing systems.
According to data available on
educational sites, the per capita income of India in 1948-49 was ₹225, or
₹18.75 per month. In 1964-65, it was ₹481, or ₹40.09 per month. While in
absolute value terms it may seem a pittance today, a growth of 114% had been
achieved in 16 years; in economic terms, considering the conditions then, the
growth was significant. However, there was no mistaking the fact that the
country was poor and required attention for all-around development. On 1
December 1963, Nagaland became the 16th state of India.
Unrelated Events of
Consolidation and Disruptions
Ayub Khan, who had come to
power through a bloodless coup in October 1958 and had declared himself field
marshal in October 1959, assumed the presidency of the Pakistan Muslim League on
24 December 1963. With this, he consolidated his authority. There were protests, but
he suppressed all the opposition.
Call it a coincidence, on 27
December 1963, a major disruption took place in Kashmir. The holy relic at
Hazratbal Shrine was reported stolen. This led to a major public agitation that
turned violent and threatened to spiral out of control. Radio Pakistan and Pakistani
newspapers carried it as the main news and projected it as India’s deliberate
disrespect for Islam and Kashmiris. One of the demands of the agitating crowd
was a plebiscite. Jawaharlal Nehru, the Prime Minister, immediately stepped in
and ordered an enquiry under the CBI head, Mr BN Mullick. Protests continued
till the relic mysteriously reappeared on 4 January 1964.
On 6 January 1964, the
Governor of West Pakistan banned the opposition party Jamaat-e-Islami and
arrested its leader, Abul Ala Maududi. Around the same time Anti anti-Hindu
riots erupted in Khulna, East Pakistan. Why in East Pakistan? There was
perceivable inequity in the economic growth of the GDP of East and West
Pakistan. While the GDP of the West grew at 4.4% from 1960 to 1965, the East
clocked in only at 2.6%. Famines and poverty were taking their toll. It was easy
to turn the anger against the Hindus. Loss of the relic was just a ruse. The
riots in Khulna triggered counter riots in Calcutta and other places.
Although the relic had been retrieved, crowds continued to protest. They raised doubts about the authenticity of the
recovered relic. The Prime Minister immediately deputed Lal Bahadur Shastri to
handle the issue. He ordered a public Deedar on 3 February 1964. Religious
heads, trusted by the public, certified the authenticity of the recovered
relic. It cooled tempers.
Any sane mind would know that the
relic had nothing to do with the plebiscite. The two were not even remotely
connected. But the demands of the plebiscite, being raised along with the relic
going missing, would not have been unintentional. Armed with the wisdom of
hindsight, we can with conviction say that the first seeds of religious incitement
had been sown, to be harvested, not once but again, at will and whenever it
suited them. Rulers in Pakistan had discovered the easiest, cheapest, and most
effective way of consolidating their position whenever domestic unrest troubled
them. The deadly cocktail of religion and politics converging into covert or
overt military operations was on its way.
Ever since the Hazratbal
incident took place, communal and political disorder increased, and the law-and-order
situation in Jammu and Kashmir deteriorated. Ghulam Mohammed, who had been the
Prime Minister of Kashmir since 1953, resigned under pressure in January 1964.
Khwaja Shamsuddin was sworn in as the new Prime Minister. His government fell
in February 1964, and Ghulam Mohammad Sadiq, viewed as a reliable ally of the
Government of India, was appointed the Prime Minister. He is believed to have
played a significant role in bringing calm to Kashmir after the unrest over the
Hazratbal incident.
A Chapter in Indian Politics
On 27 May 1964, Pundit
Jawaharlal Nehru, the pivot of Indian politics since independence, passed away.
He was 74 and had been in failing health after suffering a massive stroke in
January 64. Nehru had been in various jails for his role in the struggle for
Indian independence for a total of 3,259 days. The longest spell of his incarceration
was from August 1942 to June 1945. It was during this stretch of 2 years and 10
months, in prison he authored “The Discovery of India,” one among the many he
had written. An advocate of nonalignment in an era of superpower alignment,
widely respected visionary statesman, prolific writer, and visionary, Nehru
romanticised the concept of freedom and equality for people and laid the
foundation of the country’s infrastructural growth.
The Congress party chose Lal
Bahadur Shastri as the next Prime Minister. He took office on 31 May 1964,
beginning a new chapter in Indian politics. Government of India, with the
concurrence of the Jammu and Kashmir State Government, as required by the
Constitution, amended the 1954 Presidential Order. This political act extended
the authority of the union government for the application of constitutional
tools for emergencies, as it had in other states. The post of “Prime Minister”
of Jammu and Kashmir was renamed as “Chief Minister.” This is considered a
significant step in bringing Jammu and Kashmir more within the framework of the
Constitution of India. A lot of things were happening in the neighbourhood
around the same time. They all had a direct and indirect bearing on India.
Nuclear Ambitions
On 16 October 1964, China
tested its first nuclear device at the Lop Nur test site in Xinjiang. The
device codenamed "596" was a uranium-235 implosion fission bomb with
an estimated yield of 22 kilotons. With this test, China became the fifth nuclear
power. The United States, the Soviet Union, the United Kingdom, and France had
already declared themselves nuclear powers.
At this point, it is important
to bring out India’s progress in the field of nuclear technology. Homi Jehangir
Bhabha, a professor at the Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, had met
Nehru sometime in 1944. Nehru believed that the country’s growth to be
sustainable had to come from science and modernisation. Once India became
independent and Nehru became the Prime Minister, he retained the Ministry of
Science with him. Bhabha became the scientific advisor to the Prime Minister on
atomic matters.
The scientific policy
resolution of 1948, which projected science as the tool for national
development and self-reliance, is said to have been influenced by Bhabha. The
Indian Atomic Energy Commission was established in 1948 with Bhabha as its
first Chairman. Bhabha is said to have enjoyed near autonomous control over the
atomic energy decisions under Nehru's government. In 1954, Bhabha drew up a
3-stage “nuclear power” plan. It envisaged using Thorium reserves to achieve
long-term energy security. It was fully backed by Nehru. Once Nehru passed
away, Bhabha did not receive the same patronage from Lal Bahadur Shastri. When
China tested its nuclear device, Homi Bhabha is said to have approached the
Prime Minister requesting approval for making nuclear bombs. However, Shastri
did not heed the call and permitted only the pursuit of peaceful uses of
nuclear energy. Bhabha died in an air crash on 24 January 1966.
Shape of Things to Come
Relations with Nepal also hit
turbulence around that time. The 1950 Indo-Nepal Treaty of Peace and Friendship
determined the contours of the bilateral relations. It ensured open borders,
free movement of people between the two countries, and mutually beneficial
security arrangements. However, some Nepali leaders sowed dissent, saying that
the Treaty was unequal and India was dominating Nepal. India's defeat in the
war with China encouraged people to look towards China. To make matters worse,
King Mahendra of Nepal, who assumed direct control of the kingdom after
dismissing the elected government in 1960, became close to China.
In 1965, Pakistan witnessed serious
political agitations. The presidential election in January 1965 was widely
considered to have been rigged in favour of Ayub Khan. The conditions called
for an urgent diversion. Pakistan had already incited religious sentiments in
the valley. It was time to harvest.
On 6 April 1965, Pakistani
Rangers attacked the Sardar Post and the Kanjarkot Fort. India, reeling
under the defeat in the 1962 war, still in the process of reorganisation and
regrouping, was caught unawares and lost ground in the beginning, but regained
most of it. The clashes are believed to have peaked between 21 and 24 April.
According to information available in the public domain, President Ayub Khan is
said to have approached Prime Minister Harold Wilson of the United Kingdom for
a ceasefire. Prime Minister Harold Wilson approached Lal Bahadur Shastri, who
agreed, leading to the ceasefire on 01 May 1965.
Once the ceasefire came into
effect, both sides agreed to set up the India-Pakistan Western boundary case
Tribunal, also known as the Kutch Tribunal, under the auspices of the United
Nations. The Tribunal had three members, one each from India and Pakistan and
one neutral member appointed in consultation with both members. Sir Huber Opperman,
an Australian judge and diplomat, was selected over Sir Cyril Radcliffe, the man
who drew the Radcliffe line! The Tribunal studied historical maps, various land
records and the control of the ground before the operations to reach the
verdict. On 19 February 1968, in one of those rare conclusive Tribunal awards,
Pakistan was awarded 910 square kilometres of the 9000 square kilometres they
had claimed in the Kutch.
The Kutch operations seemed
to have emboldened Pakistan. It also could have led India to believe that Pakistan
would not wage war soon. After all, there was a ceasefire and the talks were
going on. Ayub Khan’s position was now far better than it was before the
Kutch operations. He decided to take it further. Kashmir was the easiest way forward.
The grounds had been prepared. President Mohammad Ayub Khan decided to wrest control
of Kashmir. Pakistan launched Operation Gibraltar in August 1965.
Rethink
Operation Gibraltar is
considered by most people as the cause of the 1965 operations. While their
wisdom cannot be questioned, the offensive launched by the Pakistani Army
Rangers in April 1965 cannot be seen in isolation from the war that followed. In
fact, it was the Kutch operations that led to Operation Gibraltar, though they
were geographically distant.
Looking at history, one can
see that internal disturbances in Pakistan and a security issue in India are
like Siamese twins. We will see more of it as we proceed…
(To be continued)