Saturday, 23 May 2020

DECISION BINARIES: THE WORLD IN BETWEEN AND BEYOND




Shades of Grey

We grew up with, for long in existence, binaries like, ‘yes, no’, ‘right, wrong’, ‘good, bad’, ‘kind, cruel’ and ‘friend, enemy’ etc. "With Us, Against Us" is a binary that took birth in US during the first Gulf war but is gaining currency, as political systems world over turns authoritarian. Binaries represent a judgmental choice or decision. Between the two finite elements of binaries, exist large swathes of neither, often referred to as ‘shades of grey’ that is either laboured on or ignored before arriving at conclusions. Though decisions appear merely as choice between the two sentinels of a binary, for the conscientious many a dilemma needs to be conquered and compromises made enroute to reach either.


“To be or not to be”

Decisions in life threatening situations are indeed instantaneous. The brain automatically carries out extensive high-speed scan of the situation in light of the knowledge already acquired, weighing innumerable permutations and combinations to reach ‘split second’ decisions. Choices in such ‘fight or flight’ binaries thus appear naturally as our reflex. However, sound strategic decisions emerge after deliberate scan of areas between the binary generating multitude of options, providing countless binaries to choose from and evaluating consequences of each of the choices generated. Farsighted decisions are consequences of exploring regions beyond ‘visible’ binaries. The Shakespearean soliloquy “To be or not to be"[1] beautifully captures this flux.


Non-Linear Decisions

Solving a single-variable mathematical linear equation is easy. Solution to equations with three or more variables, involves complex elimination processes. Nonlinear equations exist on a different plane. Real life situations are neither linear nor have limited variables. Countless variables, most upfront and chaff, some predictable others unpredictable, several that preclude elimination, many random and vacillating, few invisible and others cloaked daggers, knotted into complex relationships, influenced by apprehensions, ego, fear and misunderstandings, masquerade as ‘decision-situations’.  Survival quality of life and progress, finally is the outcome of the choices made.


Visionaries

Even at the basic level of human existence such complex situations exist. Many are content to live out their daily lives through a series of binary decisions, conditioned by biases and survival tools imbibed as they grow. Such decisions conform to existing social norms and merely add volume. Higher the level of operation, longer the time span covered and larger the number of people involved, risks and unpredictability associated grows exponentially. Impact of the ‘binary’ adopted in such cases may affect the decision maker, those around and even the society at large.

Despite the risks involved, a few dare to tread the untrodden, taking decisions incongruent with common perception and beyond others’ comprehension. Such paths are packed with innumerable obstacles and inundated with pestering chatter of naysayers. Yet they leap, the leap of faith. Many flounder and few succeed. Those who can visualize uncertainties beyond the horizon succeed in actualizing their dreams; and we call them visionaries.


Investment Risks

Each ‘considered’ decision is a choice between a binary like ‘yes or no’, ‘right or wrong’, etc. Choices derived from calculus of mere visible cause, effect and probability of success under prevailing conditions are short sighted, have minimal risks but returns insignificant little. Choice from a binary in pursuit of an easy way forward seldom begets progress. That is what almost everyone does.

Visionaries on the other hand scan far beyond and deeper than the easily visible and force open new vistas of opportunities. They slice open situations and conditions with an eye on reluctant details and heart beyond the horizon to create new sets of binaries. What may appear as suicidal decisions, to the faint hearted and short sighted, would really be bold steps towards success. The story of Indian steel and Indica sums up journeys beyond easy binaries amidst a crowd of naysayers. In fact, many mega ventures have taken birth only through such audacious moves. The deciding factor is the ability of the individual to scan the large landscape hidden by the obvious.


Organisational Context

Decision dilemmas exist in organisational affairs also. The visible binary ‘approved or Not approved’ in an intra-organisational communication is actually the summation of many aspects unsaid and often influenced. Any decision for that matter would either become component of a greater decision or be the summation of many micro decisions. The credibility of the decision depends on the quality of the input scan made by the decision maker.

Irrespective of what was said and meant, most of us hear and assign motives we want. Trainers world over have regaled audiences with fun filled communication exercises proving this point. Even written words suffer the same fate. How else do lawyers make money? The burden of inference and response rests with the recipient. Thus, decision makers in an organisation needs to keep formal and informal communication free of clutter. When communication is open and transparent, areas required to be considered for decision-making open up truthfully. As the ‘fish-bone’ sketch becomes bigger, decision binaries become inclusive.

In the end, responsibility of the decision rests with the decision maker. No wonder, it is said, “uneasy lies the head, that wears the crown”.


Moral Compass

When human beings make decisions, moral coordinates become relevant. Defining morality however, is an organisational or individual choice.

Organisations must aim to live long unless created for fly-by-night operations. Organisational longevity and social relevance are results of strategic decisions. If strategic decision-makers operate with high levels of morality, they create organisational culture which could transcend generations. Such organisations generally invest heavy on the society.  There are also organisations that openly dabble in the grey without breaking rules. They even offer high returns. However, they don’t evoke venerability the former enjoys.

Individuals, for whom discarding moral compass at will and changing moral coordinates for convenience without remorse, decision to employ ‘hook or crook’ means is justified by the ends achieved and conscience silenced and pacified since “everything is fair in love and war”. Once initiated such techniques become ingrained and natural. If at all, the guilt is felt only once. Their words and actions come from inherent perverted greed that defines their persona. Such people pollute organisational ethos and vitiate the  society they belong to. Some of them notch up spectacular victories, muster coteries and even wield power. But the fact remains, that they sprout and disappear sooner than later.


Slice of Indian History

Many businesses have emerged successful from decisions that can at best be called ‘leaps of faith’. Most of these, owe their origins to ‘leaps’ that defied contemporary logic, survived on dreams and grew passionately nurtured by one or a few. When morality is a non-negotiable component of decision making, organisations flourish and survive centuries, irrespective of the socio-political environment it finds itself in. Tatas[2] are synonymous with this organisational ethos.

The story of Indian steel began in 1882 because Jamsetji Tata took a tremendous leap of faith. The first ingot rolled out in 1912 because Tatas went beyond the visible easy binaries. The first truly Indian Car launched as “more car per car” encountered rough weather. The company is said to have attended to all complaints at no cost to the clients. Tata rebounded with “even more car per car”.  They not only recovered losses but left an indelible mark on the market. It happened because Tatas chose to go beyond easy binaries. They have a tradition of going beyond visible binaries.

There would be and would have been many such organisations and individuals across India and world over who dared to see beyond the visible binaries.


Choice

Every decision, personal or organisational is a choice from a binary. The number of binaries one generates for a given situation, to decide from widens coverage and strengthens decisions. The binaries or choices generated is subjective and depends on the ends[3] envisioned by the decision maker and more predominantly the means considered acceptable. This in turn comes from the philosophy of life internalised by the decision maker, hence the difference in quality of the decision. After all, core of every decision reflects the value system internalised by an individual.

Collective decision making, however democratic it may be, is the result of influence and synergies that operate during decision making. Profits and immediate success entice organisations and individuals to freely dabble in the grey. It is legal too. Moral coordinates are deliberate choices that decision maker adopts himself to abide by.

There’s no definite binary other than ‘dead or alive’. The ambiguity associated with binaries is best illustrated by the countless living-dead we encounter daily and the few who live on, even after death.



[1] "To be or not to be : that is the question…” William Shakespeare Hamlet
[2] The Tata Saga Inspiring Stories from a Timeless Institution
[3] Referenced to Discussions on the subject with Dr Abraham Kuruvilla, a renowned and accomplished counsellor.

22 comments:

  1. Dilemma of a Decision Maker well articulated. Most of them wish for binary situation of this way or that way. In present day context, life is much more complicated. All possible outcomes do not present themselves to go for the best decision. A good decision maker like Modiji is going grossly wrong in his recent decisions. Visualization of all possible outcomes is essential in decision making.
    Sir, you have analyzed the complexities in decision making very well. Congratulations for an excellent write up.

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    1. The science of Decision making is all about solving an equation with known variables. Not easy but doable. however as one generates more options and start linkages into components and consider option there too it becomes gigantic a task. That is when the innate sense of seeing the invisible hearing the unspoken and joining these is required. master it, one masters the art of decision making.
      but when

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  2. Ramesh Krishnan23 May 2020 at 12:05

    You have broken the myth about Zeros and Ones.. Well articulated.. Compliments

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    1. Thank you very much.
      Yes, the infinite swathe between 'zero and one' is where we need our skills to negotiate

      Delete
  3. Decision making is an art above the science in it. The complexity of the decision is decided by the premises over which they are made. Many tend to make this too complex by increasing the number of variables . Over simplification usually yields a binary point.These decisions are usually intuitively taken without much analysis of the situations. The risk associated and the available time can make us to go beyond the binary positions and to see the problem as one with multiple possibilities.
    Gen.Tharakan your analysis goes beyond the black and white with all the colours those go to make a rainbow with more colours than seven. Beautiful.

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    1. Thank you Professor.
      you are so precise in getting the scalpel to the complexities of decision making. while competence may yield a decision, the moral component is what will ensure a sense of being just.

      Delete
  4. Good Evening Sir, A great article indeed. Decision making is really a difficult job, especially, visualising the uncertainties beyond the horizon as brought out correctly in the article. Really a fantastic write up. Thanks a lot sir .

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    1. Thank you Lizy.
      Decision making is difficult only for the discerning.

      Delete
  5. Decisions need not always be binaries,it can be shades of grey.For example liking a person need not be totally binary....i like somebody more than another somebody...someone i like 100 percent someone else I like 70% perhaps...so it goes... in some cases,we may say I like a person or I dont like a person.But there are shades here.

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    1. what was discussed was the enormous scope of creating binaries within an existing binary to include more possibilities. the article endeavors to highlight the existence of the large swathe in between a visible binary

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  6. Great blog on decision making, particularly your points about internalized value systems of decision makers, existence of multiple & complex variables, risk factors etc.

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    1. Everything to one side, its the value systems internalised that defines, shapes and controls ones thoughts. thoughts influence emotions which inturn drive actions and behaviour.
      thank you.

      Delete
  7. Sir the complexities in decision making have been very well conceptualised and articulated. The moral compass issue highlighted finds resonance in all top level management courses. Really absorbing Sir. Rgds

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    1. Thank you sir.
      morality decides the structure and contours of our responses.
      Thank you very much

      Delete
  8. As usual very well written friend. Yours is a thinking mind that makes others think too. The problems with decision taking in the present day is that it has become too complex with the rapid changes that happen in every aspect of work and life practically everyday. I do not think many people actually take decisions taking into consideration the long term implications.Yes past experiences definitely do help a lot in the decision taking process but changes are so rapid in the modern world that probably past experiences do not really have too much of relevance. The order of the day is quick thinking. Studied decisions taken after lot of deliberations and brainstorming is probably a thing of the past. All decisions seem to be taken for the short term. Many of the decisions are taken at the top, very often by one person and then thrust down even if there is resistance. In that sort of an environment, only the binary works. I want a yes or No, that the usual refrain. Do correct me if my take is wrong.

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    1. Thank you sir.
      a mind that is in slumber is dead.
      you are right sir. quick fix is the current norm for the after taste is left for someone else to handle. And if things go wrong while in chair , the smart can always apportion blame or assign it completely to someone else.
      but behind all that is decided, the unmistakable trail of morality can be seen.
      have also seen many successful individuals who have given short shrift to morality. That's the breed building up. it has heavy costs on society. and we see it manifest in our society on a daily basis.
      thank you sir for the great support you have been always.

      Delete
  9. Lt Gen Gurdeep Singh27 May 2020 at 11:37

    My compliments to you for an excellent article.I feel Decision Making is an art and will depend entirely on the attitude of the Decision Maker. The Decision taken will also depend on the trust and faith of the organisation on the Decision Maker. The biggest problem is that often decisions are taken without seeing through the likely impact and this often results in either modification or change of the decision. In organisations where tenure of Decision Maker is short,it often results in taking a decision with short term results. This is not healthy for an organisation. Decisions are a must for long term results with the aim of overall growth of the organisation. This will benefit everyone.

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    1. Thank you sir.
      unfortunately good and bad templating is done by many decision makers only in terms of gains and loss for self even if its short term. sacrificing organisational or subordinates' interests come easy for many. thats why did quote TATA as an example, where chieftains have mortgaged huse properties and pushed it to put forward the organisation. Morality is one important frame work on which decisions stand strong

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  10. [29/05, 16:50] Jerry: Very well articulated Sir. Indeed the process of decision making is far too complex to be refrained within imaginary parameters. Ofcourse we have a plethora of visionaries ; fresh, open and bold in their outlook. They launch themselves with all earnest, systematically scan the vast spaces of grey and other hues. However, they lose their steam by the myriad of laid down conformities, conservatism, old shool of naysayers, fear of losses, fear on reputation, fear of failures, fear of social norms...... Mostly the fears out weigh the zeal.Result?......a product of conformity, nothing new, not too old.....well within the concrete pillars of yes and no....
    At the end of the day we have a disciplined mediocrity ruling the roost and carcasses of brilliant souls, strewn along the concrete walkways

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    1. Yes; you said it all . And in what you said and how you said is summarised the present day dynamics of decision making. its a battle filed strewn with discarded conscience and carcass of the conscientious.
      be that so, yet truth and reason must prevail.

      This one article of mine has got many phone calls and from many different walks of life. this article remains the most discussed by my readers personally with me.
      i plan to write a sequel to this article soon
      thank you.

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    2. Brilliant analytical piece connecting real life situations. Analog signal processing with millions of states are complicated. Pulse andtand digital switching guru Millman and Taub would have been excited to read this.

      Delete

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